Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.976686 4.742036 5.594548 6.611567 7.788671 9.104974 10.685013
2025-08-24 2.876919 3.857516 5.062969 6.641501 8.640232 11.071711 14.236572
2025-08-31 2.207625 3.266018 4.677640 6.670914 9.380787 12.899809 17.771494
2025-09-07 1.729329 2.790454 4.310009 6.598771 9.902079 14.429744 21.020789
2025-09-14 1.328359 2.325613 3.851213 6.288732 10.001158 15.339223 23.459721
2025-09-21 1.092827 2.058374 3.624574 6.259376 10.462686 16.758072 26.696604
2025-09-28 0.909956 1.836500 3.424085 6.225077 10.886447 18.129351 29.948899
2025-10-05 0.833279 1.783555 3.488807 6.619177 12.013469 20.650726 35.129220
2025-10-12 0.739886 1.679663 3.445258 6.815268 12.822860 22.724975 39.756322
2025-10-19 0.672170 1.611981 3.454147 7.098045 13.796799 25.129842 45.075889
2025-10-26 0.583018 1.481596 3.322982 7.102720 14.274507 26.735118 49.183401
2025-11-02 0.483612 1.307577 3.077541 6.854633 14.261098 27.487815 51.893333
2025-11-09 0.399728 1.152654 2.850381 6.619537 14.259795 28.284279 54.784927
2025-11-16 0.347044 1.061456 2.744725 6.616838 14.700846 29.904322 59.238895
2025-11-23 0.303599 0.983720 2.656048 6.636591 15.184165 31.633207 64.001525
2025-11-30 0.260878 0.897360 2.532480 6.562009 15.464013 32.994407 68.173924
2025-12-07 0.212649 0.782265 2.318707 6.252725 15.217510 33.318273 70.419182
2025-12-14 0.185054 0.721623 2.230882 6.223292 15.562640 34.819278 74.992713
2025-12-21 0.161125 0.665992 2.146236 6.189102 15.890879 36.305032 79.624326
2025-12-28 0.155836 0.671648 2.229372 6.581175 17.213325 39.905092 88.631995
2026-01-04 0.143891 0.650921 2.235032 6.776267 18.099396 42.656783 96.098774
2026-01-11 0.135651 0.641609 2.272224 7.057614 19.210842 45.951438 104.844924
2026-01-18 0.120285 0.600762 2.208635 7.062265 19.662852 47.868121 110.875688